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Intraday Analysis – USD Rises, Dow Momentum Holds – Orbex Forex Trading Blog

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The Dow Jones maintains its upward momentum, defying any signs of slowdown. The recent 500-point surge encountered robust buying activity above the daily resistance level of 38400. Despite a bearish divergence observed on the RSI, traders anticipate another record high, underlining the importance of our Dow analysis. Notably, the pivotal support at 38500 may prevent a decline towards the critical floor of 38000

The US dollar extended gains on the NFP momentum, but the pair already looks exhausted. The 148.00 level on the 20-day SMA has been acting as tough resistance. Should prices fall back into the recent channel, bearish sentiment has begun. A tentative break below 147.60 exposes the downside risk and potentially the daily support of 146.00. With an undecided RSI, this could limit the range of the initial fall for now. A hold at 147.90 could be the catalyst for some consolidation with a move back towards 148.45.

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The euro stalled after the bloc’s retail sales fell back into negative territory. On the chart, the pair is making another attempt to bounce at the psychological level of 0.8500. A break above last month’s low of 0.8515 combined with a bearish MA cross reinforced the downward bias. Though a correction cannot be ruled out, a slight uptick in prices recently saw a test above 0.8570. 0.8540 is the first demand zone should this happen.

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