Steven R. July 10, 2020
The European and CIS Dota 2 scene is on pause at the moment, but Southeast Asia is still continuing at a brisk pace with the ONE Esports SEA League. The event is currently in its group stage, with 10 teams competing in a round robin format.
TNC Predator vs. T1 betting analysis for ONE Esports SEA League
T1 rebounding after rough start to Dota 2
T1 is one of the few esports organizations that has a real brand, and that brand is all about winning.
Fans that haven’t been keeping up with StarCraft 2, Hearthstone, or League of Legends can be forgiven for not knowing this, because its Dota 2 team was generally awful for a long stretch.
T1’s approach to Dota 2 was signing former MVP Phoenix player Lee “Forev” Sang-don and trying to build a roster around him. Putting the whole stack of chips on a player that has historically been a journeyman was a questionable decision, and that showed as T1’s roster basically changed from event to event.
Things finally settled down in May when the team locked down this lineup:
- Galvin “Meracle” Kang Jian Wen
- Muhammad “inYourdreaM” Rizky
- Lee “Forev” Sang-don
- Tri “Jhocam” Kuncoro
- Wilson “Poloson” Koh Chin Wei
Since then, T1 has actually won two smaller leagues and posted a respectable performance in BTS Pro Series Season 2. The team has clearly turned a corner, but it’s unclear where their ceiling really is.
TNC Predator continues to play hot and cold
When TNC Predator won the MDL Chengdu Major and ESL One Hamburg 2019 back-to-back to start the season, it looked like the team was set to be an elite side for the remainder of the year. The team’s performance dipped considerably from there, en route to TNC Predator failing to qualify for the ESL One Los Angeles Major, something that would have had a big impact on the Dota Pro Circuit standings prior to the DPC being scrapped for the year.
The transition to online play hasn’t helped the team, with TNC posting underwhelming placements in almost every league and tournament it has competed in. Outside an occasional change, the team has played with its normal roster:
- Kim “Gabbi” Villafuerte
- Armel Paul “Armel” Tabios
- Damien “kpii” Chok
- Timothy John “Tims” Randrup
- Park “March” Tae-won
TNC has shown it remains a force in the regional scene, but it looks as though the ship has sailed in terms of the team being in the same discussion as the best from Europe and China.
TNC Predator vs. T1 ONE Esports SEA League betting odds, predictions
TNC Predator has already locked up an upper bracket start to the ONE Esports SEA League playoffs, with its map record standing at a strong 11-3. T1 is on shakier ground at 7-9 and will be looking to avoid elimination near the bottom of the group stage standings.
On Winners.bet, TNC is likely to open up as a decided favorite. TNC and the current iteration of T1 have faced off twice, both times in BTS Pro Series Season 2. Their group stage showdown was a 1-1 draw while TNC got the better of their rematch in the playoffs in 2-0 fashion.
T1 has been able to take wins in SEA leagues and events, but the team is yet to knock off TNC or regional leader Fnatic. Taking a 2-0 win over TNC Predator would be a huge coup for the team and is quite unlikely to actually happen as a result. Markets will likely be available for a 2-0 win for TNC and a 1-1 draw, and those would be the best options.
erkaSt joins NG
NG continue to add to their international roster with the signing of another high-profile player in the Asian scene, Erdenetsogt “erkaSt” Gantulga, bringing the player count in the starting lineup up to four, each one of them from a different country.
Now a household name in Asia, erkaSt first made a name for himself in Oceania, where he was part of the Grayhound squad that played at IEM Sydney in 2018 and 2019, made two ESL Pro League Finals and competed at the IEM Katowice 2019 and StarLadder Berlin Major’s New Challengers Stages.
The Mongolian player then had to return to his home country after not being able to secure a work visa in Australia following the StarLadder Major, where he achieved moderate success with TIGER, winning the first Regional Major Ranking tournament, the Weibo Cup Asian Championship and making the final of the latest RMR tournament, Perfect World Asia League Fall.
Since returning to Mongolia erkaSt has accrued a 1.15 rating and has had strong performances at all of the RMR tournaments with a 1.20 rating at ESL One: Road to Rio Asia as well as 1.19 and 1.14 ratings at the PAL Summer and Fall events, respectively.
“For the past year since Grayhound, I’ve been playing with and giving my experiences to my fellow Mongolians and the community there as a player”, erkaSt says, “but from today onward, I’m very excited to call NG a new home and really looking forward to play with my new teammates and the journey ahead of us. Thank you for all your support and especially NG for giving me this opportunity!”
NG are now:
Video: TeSeS vs. Vitality
Action situation #1
Heroic up 6-5 (Mirage)
Action situation #2
First pistol round (Nuke)
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XTQZZZ on Vitality’s six-man roster: “We’re going to make substitutions mid-series depending on the map”
Vitality coach Rémy “XTQZZZ” Quoniam has revealed that Nabil “Nivera” Benrlitom will start practising with the team this week as part of a rotation system that will be employed moving forward. The 19-year-old is expected to make his debut in the BLAST Premier Final Series — the perfect proving ground for the former Heretics player as the team are already qualified for the BLAST Global Finals.
“The team will make substitutions mid-series depending on the map,” XTQZZZ wrote in a Twitlonger post. “It will allow some players to rest on training days (very few until the end of the year), to rotate, to be able to make decisions and to remain as competitive as possible.”
XTQZZZ gives three reasons for the expansion of Vitality‘s roster, starting with the congested fixture schedule in Counter-Strike. “We have had a much higher number of tournaments, matches and weeks over the years,” he said. “This is essentially related to business, where we’re looking for a profitability that does not currently exist.”
The second reason he gave is the team’s struggle to perform consistently in a packed schedule while facing constant pressure to obtain results. This, according to him, affects “preparation ahead of intense matches”.
The French coach also talked about mental health and burnout, a hot topic as several players have requested medical leaves this year due to the heavy workload. “These problems are essentially created by a loss of balance, a loss of fulfilment, a loss in the professional life and a loss of pleasure,” he explained. “We must pay attention to each one of our players.”
Regarding the addition of Nivera to the roster and the effect that it will have on the group, XTQZZZ insisted that the Belgian player will not be claiming anyone’s spot in the starting lineup. “Vitality’s objective is to continue training young talents while keeping the experience of our legends. Nabil doesn’t come to bench anyone.”
The French coach also shared his thoughts about jumping into uncharted territory, saying that Vitality will “give the project a certain amount of time to see if it can be effective, well-received and beneficial.”
“We will try to adapt to the system in the short/medium term,” he added. “In six months it may be different or perhaps even more complicated, but none of us can predict the future with the current situation.”
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