Data shows the Bitcoin trading volume has further declined recently, suggesting that the latest rally may be losing steam. Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Continues To Decline This Week According to the latest weekly report from Arcane Research,  the BTC spot volume has observed further decline in the past week. The “trading volume” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin being involved in spot trades on any given day. When the value of this indicator goes up, it means more coins are now changing hands. This trend shows that the network is becoming more active. Usually, high volumes make up for an ideal environment for pushing any big price moves. This is because for sustaining such movements, you require a large amount of traders involved in the market. Which is precisely what high values of the metric represent. Related Reading | Data: Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Has Stagnated Since October High On the other hand, declining volumes imply that the Bitcoin network is turning inactive. Such a trend may be a sign of general disinterest in the crypto among investors at the moment. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the BTC Trading Volume over the past year: The indicator's value seems to have been declining recently | Source: Arcane Research's The Weekly Update - Week 11, 2022 As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin daily volume has been on the decline for a while now. Over the past seven days, this downtrend looks to have continued. The 7-day average spot volume is currently around just $4 billion. In the last week, the metric’s value has surged to $7 billion on only a single day. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bullish Signal: Exchange Reserve Loses Another 50k BTC Over Past Week Price activity usually revives the indicator as it attracts more traders. However, market activity has been rather declining recently, despite the value of Bitcoin observing some sharp upliftment over the past couple of days. A lack of traders means that it’s unlikely this rally would be able to march any further. Just like much of the recent trend, the coin’s price may start consolidating now instead of catching any real movement. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $42.2k, up 5% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has accumulated 10% in gains. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days. Looks like the price of BTC broke past the $43k mark yesterday | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView As the chart shows, it seems like the Bitcoin rally has already started losing steam, just like the trading volume had indicated. Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Arcane Research

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NUPL metric currently has values that would suggest the bear market is yet to hit in full swing, if the coin is in one. Bitcoin NUPL Value Still Not As Low As Previous Bear Markets As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC NUPL metric suggests market hasn’t neared a bear market bottom yet. The “net unrealized profile/loss” (or NUPL in short) is an indicator that tells us about the ratio of profit and loss in the Bitcoin market. The metric’s value is calculated by taking the difference between the market cap and the realized cap, and dividing it by the market cap. When the NUPL has a value greater than zero, it means there are more coins in profit than ones in loss at the moment. On the other hand, negative values of the indicator imply that investors are, on average, in a state of loss right now. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bullish Signal: Exchange Reserve Loses Another 50k BTC Over Past Week Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NUPL over the history of the crypto: Looks like the value of the indicator is still above zero | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin NUPL metric has often been able to predict top and bottom formations through its various colored zones. In the previous bear markets, the indicator’s value has usually fallen off below zero (blue) as a bottom approached. In the lead up to these bearish periods have been the yellow and green phases, but currently the NUPL still looks to be in the yellow zone. This may mean that if Bitcoin has already entered into a bear market, it has still some ways to go before total capitulation and bottom formation. Related Reading | What’s Bitcoin Role After End of Petrodollar System? Arthur Hayes Says However, it’s worth noting that there have been instances before where the indicator dropped into the yellow zone after a bull rally, but then jumped back up soon after as the bullish trend continued, indicating a mid-cycle bottom formation instead. The latest example of this was during the mini-bear period of May-July 2021, where the coin bottomed at around $28k and rallied on to a new ATH. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $41.4k, up 6% in the past week. Over the last month, the crypto has gained 8% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the past five days. The price of the crypto seems to have held above $40k over the past couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange reserve has lost another 50k BTC over the past week, a sign that could be bullish for the price of the crypto. Bitcoin Exchange Reserve Continues To Observe Further Decline In Recent Weeks As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, 50k BTC in net outflows has exited exchange wallets over the past week. The “all exchanges reserve” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin stored in wallets of all centralized exchanges. When the value of this metric goes up, it means the supply on exchanges is rising as investors deposit a net amount of coins. Such a trend may be bearish for the price of the coin as holders usually transfer to exchanges for selling purposes. On the other hand, the reserve’s value decreasing implies that a net amount of Bitcoin is exiting exchange wallets at the moment. This kind of trend when sustained over a period can prove to be bullish for the coin’s price as it may be a sign that investors are accumulating. Related Reading | Current Stretch Of Bitcoin Fear Surpasses 2021 Selloff Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the BTC exchange reserve over the past few months: Looks like the value of the indicator has sharply gone down recently | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin exchange reserve has been going down over the last few months. In the past week alone, the metric has dropped 50k BTC in value. The last couple of days especially saw large downward spikes amounting to around 10k to 11k BTC. Related Reading | Mike Novogratz: Bitcoin Price To Range Between $30k-$50k Throughout The Year The exchange reserve has traditionally been considered the “selling supply” of the coin. As it has been shrinking for a while now, the effect on the price should be positive due to supply-demand dynamics. Some have referred to this decline as creating a “supply shock” in the market. However, recent data suggests that the reserve is no longer the main source of selling pressure, coins exiting from exchanges have instead just shifted into investment vehicles like ETFs. Nonetheless, the reserve declining does reduce part of the selling supply so the net effect of such a trend may still be bullish. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $41k, up 5% in the past week. Over the last month, the crypto has lost 6% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the past five days. The price of Bitcoin seems to have seen a surge over the last couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com