Yayin da muke tafiya a cikin 2024, zinari ya kasance fitilar kwanciyar hankali a cikin rudani a duniya mai rikice-rikice na geopolitical da canjin tattalin arziki.
A cewar wani rahoto na CNBC da aka buga a ranar 16 ga Afrilu 2024, Goldman Sachs kwanan nan ya sake tabbatar da kwarin gwiwa kan zinare, yana mai cewa kasuwa a matsayin "kasuwar bijimin da ba za a iya girgiza ba." Kamfanin ya ɗaga burinsa na farashin gwal na ƙarshen shekara daga $2,300 zuwa $2,700 kowace oza.
Farashin CNBC Rahoton Citi ya ci gaba da cewa, zanga-zangar kwanan nan kan farashin gwal ya biyo bayan tashe-tashen hankulan da ake fama da su a yankin, musamman wadanda suka shafi Gabas ta Tsakiya. Wannan ya zo daidai da matakan rikodi a cikin ma'auni na daidaito, yana ba da shawarar sauya fifikon masu saka hannun jari zuwa kadara mafi aminci. Citi yana aiwatar da cewa waɗannan abubuwan na iya haɓaka farashin gwal har ma da girma, mai yuwuwar kaiwa $ 3,000 a kowace oza a cikin watanni 6 zuwa 18 masu zuwa.
Sabanin haka, a cewar wani Labari ta Kitco News da aka buga a ranar 15 ga Afrilu 2024, Caroline Bain daga Babban Tattalin Arziki tana ba da ƙarin bincike mai zurfi. Ta yi hasashen cewa kololuwar farashin gwal na baya-bayan nan na iya wakiltar alamar ruwa mai tsayi don 2024, tana tsammanin ja da baya zuwa $2,100 a kowace oza a ƙarshen shekara. Bain ya danganta wannan gyare-gyaren da ake sa ran zuwa ga rashin daidaituwar farashin gwal tare da hasashen farashin ribar na yanzu, wanda ke nuna ƙimar ƙila za ta kasance mafi girma na tsawon lokaci saboda ƙwararrun alkaluman ayyukan yi na Amurka da yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki:
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"A 16.5% karuwa a cikin zinariya farashin tun farkon shekara ya bayyana ƙara fita daga kilter tare da ribar hangen zaman gaba ... Lalle ne, da karfi da aikin yi rahoton US Jumma'a da Laraba ta Maris CPI buga, wanda arguably bayar da shawarar rates iya zama mafi girma ga tsawo, ya yi daidai da hauhawar farashin gwal, yayin da kudin baitul mali da dalar Amurka su ma suka tashi."
Bain ya kuma nuna cewa yayin da rashin tabbas na geopolitical ya ƙarfafa roƙon zinariya, wannan yanayin ba zai dore ba. Ta bayyana cewa duk da karuwar zinari, sauran wuraren tsaro ba su ga ƙarfin kwatankwacinsa ba, kuma an sami ci gaba da fita daga ETFs na zinariya na Turai. Ta kara da cewa, yayin da bukatar bullar cutar ta jiki, musamman a kasar Sin, ta haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, amma ana sa ran wannan bukatar za ta yi rauni yayin da yanayin kasuwa ya daidaita:
"Sha'awar masu zuba jari na kasar Sin a kan zinari ba abin mamaki ba ne ganin cewa yuwuwar damar saka hannun jari a kasar Sin ta ragu sakamakon koma bayan kimar kadarori da kuma faduwar farashin daidaito a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata… fita, kuma ga mafi yawan gargajiya direbobin farashin su dauki ragamar mulki daga baya a cikin shekara. A wani bangare, wannan ra'ayi ya dogara ne kan hasashen da muka yi cewa, a wani bangare na kudaden da aka samu a kasar Sin za su farfado a cikin shekara mai zuwa."
Zinariya a halin yanzu (kamar 12:00 pm UTC akan 16 Afrilu 2024) yana ciniki akan $2374.14, ƙasa da 0.39% a ranar.
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- Source: https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/04/gold-in-2024-goldman-sachs-heralds-unshakeable-bull-market-with-2700-target-citi-forecasts-3000-within-6-18-months/
