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Startups are a strange animal.

Even though they have the potential to hand investors like you life-changing profits…

They also have a high probability of failing.

Makes sense. After all, startups are new enterprises searching for a profitable business model.

The thing is, identifying a profitable business model can take a lot of time.

That’s why the longer a startup can stay in business, the greater its odds are of succeeding — and the greater its odds are of delivering big profits to investors like you.

But how can we determine whether a startup has what it takes?

Well, that’s what we’ll cover today…

And as you’ll see, the longer a startup can stay afloat, the better your chances of walking away with 1,000%+ returns.

Avoid These Startups!

CB Insights, a prominent research firm that focuses on the private markets, recently performed a detailed study about why startups fail.

Some of the factors it identified won’t surprise you — for example, creating a useless product, or doing lousy marketing. But one factor is so obvious that it’s often overlooked:

The startup runs out of money!

As it turns out, this finding is echoed again and again in similar studies, whether from the Small Business Administration (SBA) or Harvard Business School.

And for investors like us, here’s the bottom line about this insight:

Since running out of money is the most fundamental reason startups fail, we should avoid investing in the startups that are more likely to run out of money.

And Here’s How To Predict It

Given this knowledge, Matt and I set out to do a study of our own.

Our goal was clear:

Identify the factors that could indicate whether a startup had a higher or lower chance of running out of money — even if it was a tiny company, just getting off the ground.

Our study eventually became a multi-year research project:

We traveled across the country to interview dozens of top venture capitalists. We hired former investment bankers from Citicorp to evaluate data. And we recruited Columbia University MBAs to build financial models and run regression analyses.

And what we discovered was shocking…

Our Findings

Our team eventually identified about two dozen statistically significant indicators that could tell us whether a company had a higher or lower risk of running out of money.

For example, we discovered that a startup’s investors are a powerful indicator.

Specifically, if a startup raises part of its “seed” round from Venture Capitalists — as opposed to exclusively from individuals like you — it’s 63% more likely to raise additional funding later.

And since a well-funded startup will stay in business longer, that means it’ll have more time to identify a good business model — and a higher chance of handing you a big return.

Here’s Another Indicator We Found:

If a startup has high fixed costs, it’s at greater risk of running out of money.

For example, hardware startups — the type of companies that build physical products — have relatively high fixed costs. And these high costs make them riskier.

Sure, some hardware companies will become successful. But statistically speaking, their high fixed costs correlate to a higher risk of going out of business. That’s why you’re generally better off investing in software startups.

These examples are just a small sample of the two dozen statistically significant indicators our team identified.

And before we make a startup investment, we evaluate every one of them.

For the Biggest Returns, Follow a Quantitative Approach

What you just learned about is one of the secrets to successful early-stage investing…

By following a strict quantitative approach to making investment decisions, you can avoid investing in the types of startups that are more likely to run out of money…

And put yourself in better position to earn huge returns!

If you’d like to learn the details of our study — and the details of our quantitative approach to private-market investing — we have something special to share with you today…

It’s a way to get access to ALL of our private market research and recommendations, for LIFE.

All you need to do is cancel your current Crowdability membership.

Yes, I know that might sound strange…

But Matt explains everything here »

Best Regards,
Wayne Mulligan
Wayne Mulligan




Blockchain Project Casper’s Mainnet to Launch in Mar 2021, its Token Sale will be first CoinList Sale this Year




In anticipation of its mainnet launch and token sale to be conducted via CoinList during March 2021, Casper has emerged as one of the “most talked-about” projects in the blockchain industry.

As mentioned in a blog post by CoinList, when you “dig” into the technology, it’s “no surprise” why: Casper has “the potential to usher in a new era of blockchain adoption and innovation.”

Only a few years back, distributed ledger technology (DLT) was mainly the domain of a relatively small group of privacy-driven developers and enthusiasts, carrying “little mainstream appeal.”

But now, there are several established and renowned global brands across industries that are integrating blockchain or DLT solutions in order to update their business models: Walmart is leveraging blockchain to promote food supply chain transparency, and JP Morgan implemented a private blockchain network that facilitates cross-border transactions with a network of more than 300 banks.

Meanwhile, Nike patented a system for tokenizing shoes on the Ethereum blockchain and Jaguar teamed up with IOTA to incentivize drivers with cryptocurrency in exchange for their personal data.

As noted in a blog post by CoinList, there are many benefits of applying DLT or blockchain tech to an enterprise company and the most important advantages are greater transparency, efficiency, and overall security.

Better Transparency — Most blockchains are implemented in a manner where all computing nodes hold a copy of the complete ledger. In an enterprise environment, where all consortium members operate independent nodes, this means that all parties are able to check or verify that other network participants are good actors. Instead of having to simply “trust” data from a single “source of truth,” all parties may verify the validity of the distributed ledger in a transparent, “decentralized” manner. This approach is touted for increasing accountability to shared business deals.

Better Efficiency — Blockchain tech aims to cut out or eliminate intermediaries by supporting native payments and via smart contracts (or automated business logic). Most blockchain or DLT networks have their own digital tokens that aim to serve as the native currency which cuts out middlemen who usually charge really high fees. Additionally, smart contracts allow agreements to be conducted and finalized automatically whenever certain conditions are satisfied; thereby eliminating yet another intermediary in the process and lowering overall operational costs.

Better Security — As blockchain or DLT networks are distributed, all concerned parties hold a copy of the ledger itself. This means that in order to “take over the network” and tamper with the data, more than 50% of the blockchain network has to be compromised – which is arguably a much more challenging task than trying to corrupt a single ledger or “source of truth.”

This added level security is quite useful for enterprise businesses where partnerships can be worth millions, if not billions of dollars in value. Recently, advancements around the “proof of stake” model have led to the launch of even more secure blockchain architectures than the “proof of work” model on which early DLT protocols, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, relied, according to CoinList’s blog post.

As mentioned in the blog:

“Companies evaluating the integration of blockchain into their tech stack face many decisions when selecting which protocol to build upon. This is a really tough decision for many companies as it forces projects to examine things through a short term and a long term lens as to what is best for their organization, what is best for their stakeholders, as well as the long term viability of the network.” 

To make things even more challenging, blockchain protocols used in enterprise business settings are “rarely upgradable, and maturing systems fail to adapt to changes in the evolving business landscape,” the blog post explained. It also mentioned that generally, this “boils down to the ‘Adoption Trilemma:’ traditionally, you could choose any two of decentralization, performance and security — but not all three.”

As explained by ConList:

“Casper is a proof of stake (PoS) blockchain designed for enterprises and developers. Initially designed by early Ethereum developers, the network uses the Correct-by-Construction (CBC) Casper specification and aims to resolve early layer one blockchains’ weaknesses. The main benefit of the CBC Casper implementation is that it is future proof. It is designed to be upgradeable over time, have predictable fees, and allow for easy developer adoption, including for Web2 developers building in blockchain environments for the first time.”

Unlike the Ethereum blockchain, Casper has “upgradeable” contracts which ensure software engineers and enterprises are able to improve their apps over time instead of having to deal with old source-code and legacy designs. Stable and “predictable” gas fees ensure that software apps stay performant even while network activity increases dramatically and is important for enterprises that have to “budget precisely ahead of time,” CoinList explained in their blog post.

They added:

“WebAssembly support and the ability to compile Solidity code ensures both non-crypto and crypto devs can onboard quickly, reducing hiring costs. These are just a few of Casper’s many advantages, and doesn’t even include scalability features like concurrent execution and sharding, and accessibility features like weighted keys and permissioned chains. Casper is built to withstand changing business and developer preferences over long periods of time.”

Casper’s mainnet is expected to go live at some point this month (March 2021) and its token sale will be the first CoinList sale of this year.

The sale has three different options with their own terms and conditions.

CoinList says it’s proud to share that beginning on March 23, 2021, eligible CoinList users may take part in the Casper sale via CoinList.

Have a crowdfunding offering you’d like to share? Submit an offering for consideration using our Submit a Tip form and we may share it on our site!

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Switzerland’s Fintech Sector Continues to Grow but Certain Segments have been Stalling: Report




Although the Swiss Fintech sector continued to grow last year, a closer examination suggests that certain segments showed signs of stalling or becoming a bit stagnant. It’s one of the main findings of this year’s Fintech research study by the Lucerne University of Applied Sciences and Arts.

Switzerland’s Fintech industry has grown into one of the leading providers of digital tech solutions for the nation’s finance sector. At the end of last year, there were 405 local Fintech firms operating in Switzerland – which is 23 more than the previous year, or an increase of 6% when compared to 2019.

Most of these Fintechs provide solutions for investment management and supporting banking infrastructure. Their business models mainly focus on technology development in the fields of automation, process digitization, and robotics.

Although there’s been steady growth in the Swiss Fintech space, there were also signs last year of the industry beginning to stall.

Thomas Ankenbrand, Head of Program and lecturer for Banking and Finance at the Lucerne University of Applied Sciences and Arts, revealed that “the growth rate has been at its lowest since 2015.”

Other signs that suggest the industry is slowing down include the decreasing median of the Fintech firms’ total market capitalization and the relatively stagnant median number of workers employed at these companies. The number of Swiss Fintech firms’ employees now working abroad is also increasing steadily.

By the end of last year, this group of workers (based overseas) represented over a third of the total workforce belonging to Swiss Fintech firms.

The Fintech hub ranking in the Lucerne UASA study confirms that, on a global level, the conditions for Fintechs are still fairly attractive or favorable in Switzerland.

But when “compared to other leading Fintech ecosystems, the conditions have deteriorated slightly in the past few years,” Ankenbrand claims. Analysis also indicates that the overall quality of the environment has a positive correlation with the growth and size of the Fintech ecosystem.

Ankenbrand argues that “working towards maintaining these conditions is not only important for the Fintech sector, but for the Swiss finance industry as a whole.”

A major portion of the total business volume, whether it’s monetary transactions, lending or investments, continues to be managed or handled by incumbents with just a few well-established Fintech challengers.

Swiss banks have also become a lot more efficient by embracing digitization. Traditional banks in the country are also developing their own Fintech solutions, according to the study.

The study also reveals that modern Fintech solutions are focusing mainly on the B2B market, which includes new products offered by traditional banks. Traditional financial institutions in Switzerland have also increased their assets under management while keeping the costs relatively low.

Thomas Ankerbrand pointed out that “this development is however not mirrored on the earnings side.”

In addition to the existing business models, overall technological progress, changing consumer requirements and new regulatory guidelines, Open Banking has become a major Fintech trend in the country as well.

A survey that included feedback from the Heads of IT working at Swiss banks reveals that there’s considerable developments related to Open Banking to better serve the B2C segment.

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UK Research and Innovation Initiative to Invest £153M in Quantum Tech which will Significantly Impact Financial Services




The UK government, via the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI), is planning to invest £153 million, in order to create new products and services that are based on recent advancements in quantum technologies.

Quantum tech is expected to have a major impact on the financial services sector.

This is notably part of a larger investment in the United Kingdom’s National Quantum Technologies Program which is set to provide £1 billion worth of investments over a 10-year period.

Large banking institutions, insurance service providers and regulatory agencies are currently assessing the different opportunities and advising their clients on quantum computers for quantitative finance, asset pricing and effective portfolio management.

Precise quantum clocks for accurately timestamping digital transactions to advanced high frequency trading and various quantum security solutions to protect financial data are also being developed.

The Commercializing Quantum Technologies Challenge, via UKRI’s Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund (ISCF), has awarded £90 million across 42 initiatives in order to realize the potential of the latest quantum technologies.

A project led by Rigetti UK in partnership with Standard Chartered Bank, Oxford Instruments, Phasecraft and the University of Edinburgh has received £6.4 million in funding to support the commercialization of quantum computing in the United Kingdom. The 3-year initiative will focus on creating a sophisticated commercial quantum computer – which will be accessible via the Cloud and will develop practical applications in machine learning, materials simulation and finance.

Roger McKinlay, Challenge Director, stated:

“Quantum technologies are expected to have a huge impact on the financial services industry. Banks, insurance providers and regulators are already thinking ahead to the implications this technology will have on businesses, the economy and society. We are looking to fund the best teams of UK companies and research organizations to help them develop their ideas for innovation and commercialization.”

The challenge will be launched via a 3-phased approach, allocating a share of £7 million in funding for conducting feasibility studies, £1 million for germinator initiatives and £47 million for large projects requiring extensive collaboration.

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Uniswap UNI Token was “Shining Star” of DeFi this Past Week, while Ethereum based NFTs Rising in Popularity, OKEx Reports




Decentralized finance (DeFi) continues to lead the cryptocurrency market bull run, while Bitcoin  (BTC) is “holding steady” according to a report from OKEx.

The exchange noted that last week’s digital assets price action may have “some of you ready to exit the roller coaster,” but for the vets, it’s “just another week” in crypto.

OKEx pointed out that if we look at the prices for Bitcoin (BTC) this past week, we will quickly realize that (as usual) there have been many ups and downs. This past week began with a BTC price of $48K, then the leading crypto surged as high as $52.6K, before dropping down to $46.2K, and then ended the week where it began, back at $48K, OKEx confirmed.

The crypto exchange further noted that the price action can be quite extreme and stressful to look at on a short-term scale, because of the high levels of volatility. However, when you take a more “macro” point of view, you may appreciate the fact that the Bitcoin price has increased steadily during the past few years as more people enter the crypto space, OKEx added.

While Bitcoin remains the market leader, DeFi is “taking the cryptocurrency world by storm,” the report from OKEx claims, while noting that decentralized finance is dominated by Ethereum-based platforms. The vast majority of decentralized applications (dApps) are being built on Ethereum, the world’s largest smart contract platform.

OKEx’s report added:

“The DeFi market is doing well, despite a wider cryptocurrency market pullback. The total value locked in DeFi remains above $40 billion, thanks to Curve Finance, SushiSwap. and Balancer. At the same time, Bancor has added more than 11% to its total value locked.”

However, the “shining star” this past week seems to be Uniswap (UNI), a leading non-custodial Ethereum (ERC-20) token exchange. This last week, the UNI tokenn went from a low of around $22 and ended the week at a solid $27.

Non-Fungible Tokens or NFTs are also becoming really popular, which is yet another “decentralized” system that has been developed mainly on top of Ethereum.

Just this past week OKEx revealed that it began listing FLOW, which is the popular NFT token being used by NBA Top Shot. Shark Tank star and billionaire venture capitalist Mark Cuban also announced that he has invested in the NFT platform Mintable.

As noted in the report, Ethereum-based NFTs appear to be the latest and hottest trend in DeFi right now, and are not limited to just the Ethereum network. It appears that other cryptos are also trying to get on the NFT train.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH), the virtual payments cryptocurrency that forked from Bitcoin (BTC) back in 2017, is also getting involved with NFTs.

While many of the developments this last week with DeFi were quite positive, which is helping to push Ethereum along, the ETH price has not performed as well as some analysts might have expected.

Ether, the world’s second-largest crypto by market cap, reached an all-time high recently (by surpassing the $2,000 mark briefly), however, ETH has dropped down to around $1,680 at the time of writing.

A major challenge for the Ethereum network has been the rising gas or transaction fees, which remains an ongoing issue.

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