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COVID-19 Forecasts: New Hospitalizations

Date:

Model name: CU-Select

Intervention assumptions:

  • This model is based on assumptions about how levels of social distancing will change in the future. It assumes a 20% reduction in contact rates for each successive week that stay-at-home orders remain in place or are expected to remain in place.  Once a state has re-opened, contact rates are assumed to increase by 5% each week.
  • The model uses state-specific hospitalization data, when available. In states without hospitalization data, the model uses the national average value for hospitalization data.

Methods: Metapopulation SEIR model

Source: https://tools.cdc.gov/api/embed/downloader/download.asp?m=403372&c=407460

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